Showing posts with label peter schiff. Show all posts
Showing posts with label peter schiff. Show all posts

20 October, 2010

Default Folklore

If you have a nose for political economy, hold it. The murky doubt swirling around the Great Bailout is congealing into a hasty pudding of conventional wisdom--at least for the boosters of TB2F (Too Big To Fail), TARP, Inflationism, Do Somethingism, and etc. And, as long as nobody on the other side of that strategic, shrapnel-filled, yet strangely silent bluff bothers to lay out a rigorous, up-to-date refutation, those Liquidity Trappist Monks can scrawl the official history of the Great Obsession of '08 unhindered for the unwashed.

The apparent shortage of focused 2010 exposés by free market scholars on the multifarious costs and suspect benefits of TARP has been nagging at me for weeks--ever since the TARPorrists began crowing over reports that the shape-shifting program is going to end up costing little more than a used biography of John Kenneth Galbraith. But, more on this later.

A colleague of mine recently asserted that, at the height of the Paternalistic Panic of '08 (the Patroniziclysm?), while some experts may have opposed TARP, even they agreed we would go over a cliff without it. I decided to do some digging on that one. Here are some arguments made at the time. You may judge whether my TARP-defending friend is correct:
  • At 5:50 here Peter Schiff says what he thinks "no bailout" would mean.
  • Here's Cato's Dan Mitchell defending us from Stephen Moore.
  • And here's a nearly admirable piece by Geoff Colvin.
  • Finally, there was this piece by Steve Chapman in the reason. Excerpts:
George Kaufman, a finance professor at Loyola University Chicago, is skeptical... He notes that aside from inter-bank lending, the credit markets were functioning tolerably well at the height of the crisis. Rates on 30-year mortgages actually dropped last week.
    ...A group of 122 economists, including at least two Nobel laureates, signed a letter this week summarizing the danger: "If the plan is enacted, its effects will be with us for a generation. For all their recent troubles, America's dynamic and innovative private capital markets have brought the nation unparalleled prosperity. Fundamentally weakening those markets in order to calm short-run disruptions is desperately short-sighted."
      (Here's that letter.)

      (TARP wasn't even used for what it was sold as. So, it's not surprising if its consequences don't match predictions.)

      With so many weaknesses in the rationale for gigantic governmental rescues of private enterprise, one might anticipate that true defenders of free economies (not mere upside allies) would produce a glut of full-throated criticism of what TARP began and ended as. But, and I hope this is due to my own shabby job of searching, I have so far found few articles that qualify.  If you know of any, please post a link in the comments [if comments are disabled, send me a Tweet].

      12/20/10 UPDATE: Forgot something.  See my own 9/29/08 post here.  It quoted this very interesting 9/26/08 WaPo article, which begins:
      Banks throughout the United States carried on with the business of making loans yesterday even as federal officials warned again that their industry is on the verge of collapse, suggesting that the overheated language on Capitol Hill may not reflect the reality on many Main Streets.

      The industry is resilient despite the struggles of some members. Washington Mutual, a troubled Seattle savings and loan that was among the nation's largest mortgage lenders, yesterday was seized by the government and sold to J.P. Morgan Chase.

      At the same time, many smaller banks said they were actually benefiting from the problems on Wall Street. Deposits are flowing in as customers flee riskier investments, and well-qualified borrowers are lining up for loans.

      27 September, 2010

      Please Select Oppression Type Here


      Peter Schiff mentioned this on his video blog, so I decided to seek out the exact words of our president. They are:
      "I think that America has a noble tradition of being healthily skeptical about government. That's in our DNA, right? (Applause.) I mean, we came in because the folks over on the other side of the Atlantic had been oppressing folks without giving them representation. And so we’ve always had a healthy skepticism about government. And I think that's a good thing."
      (Emphasis added.)

      17 December, 2008

      Accidental Economic Editorializing

      Some opinions are so ingrained in a subculture that that subculture is not even aware that they are not facts, but opinions. There are few if any more certain indicators of being out of touch with the intellectual climate than to not be aware that some visible and accomplished members of the population not only do not share this assumption of facthood, but are actually demonstrating superior situational awareness in contradicting it than are proponents of said opinions in espousing it.

      That is the best I can do right now to summarize my thoughts a few hours after watching an astonishing episode of ABC's World News Tonight (12/16/08). The lead report, of course, begins with coverage of the Federal Reserve's historic interest rate action. The opinion-as-fact comes when the report segues to consumer credit:

      "But, the economy won't improve until interest rates fall for consumers as well."

      But, this is an opinion, not an established fact. Evidence here, here, here and heck, even here.

      03 December, 2008

      Comparing models

      I'm fascinated by Peter Schiff lately. Jim Rogers too. Here is a great compilation of Peter on various business news shows. I wonder if those other guests would still yuk it up if they watched this. I would hope not, but they'd probably have some cya excuse for their uselessness.

      01 February, 2008

      Three little "typos"


      Yes, just a few trivial errors in today's New York Times Politics Blog entry about Ron Paul's new adviser.

      #1: The first time he is mentioned (on the fourth line of the entry), he is given the wrong first name. The name is Peter, not Paul, Schiff. Oops.

      #2: Grammatically, the third paragraph states that Peter Schiff is the author of "The Federal Mafia" and other books. He's not. His father, Irwin, is. Whoops.

      #3: The author states that Ron Paul "wants to eliminate income and estate taxes and taxes on tips, imposing instead a consumption tax," when, in fact, Paul has repeatedly explained (on television and elsewhere) that he does not want to replace the income tax with a consumption tax nor any other new tax. Umm...

      Just nitpicks really. I'm sure the rest is fine.